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2024-12-14 01:09:48

First, basically similar to April and May this year, the market will surprise everyone from time to time and hit a new high.Today, the three sisters of A-shares jointly pull up A-shares again, which is a ship pulled for the expectation of RMB depreciation. Because it is a shrinkage increase, especially A50, the shrinkage increase after the heavy volume drop is reflected in A-shares, that is, pulling up the external market with a small amount of funds to affect the A-share market.Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.


Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.Second, A-shares from last year's 828 to this year's Spring Festival, and then to the 924 market, three rescues were all aimed at selling the big index stocks, which is the main purpose of all the market from last year to now.First, at present, there is no sign that A shares will start the second wave of market, and the conditions are not available.


Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.Because A-shares often support the market, big index stocks have not gone up less. When we look at the increase of big index stocks and small and medium-sized stocks together, they are basically the same, both at a relatively high level. In this way, big index stocks are even less dominant. Banks have gone up for 10 years, and oil and coal have gone up for four years. These small and medium-sized stocks have only gone up for more than a month, but the increase is relatively large, so there is no basis for size conversion, that is,Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.

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